Anthropic 增速放缓引讨论,Opus 5.5 与 Astra 竞争格局分析
源:https://t.co/ts9bdkOjTE
有人拿 Astra 和 Opus 5.5 做完大项目后给出对比体验,还分析了 token 需求和 ARR 会落在哪,做模型选型可以参考。
Tech Fund 分析 8 月和 9 月的 token 消耗数据,指出 OpenAI 和 Anthropic 在假期月份仍保持环比增长。9 月 OpenAI 发布 Astra 后,部分预算可能流向 Astra,但作者用 Astra 完成一个大型编程项目后认为 Opus 5.5 在生产效率上更强。作者预计 Anthropic 将在最高端工作负载上保持较高市场份额,开源模型则会主导商品化工作负载,但后者的收入和利润率更低。
源:https://t.co/ts9bdkOjTE
源: x.com/techfund1/stat… Tech Fund @techfund1 On Anthropic's slowdown: 1. August is the month when most people take a holiday, you would expect token consumption to be lower. However, both OpenAI and Anthropic still produced nice MoM growth. 2. September is the month that OpenAI released Astra. You would expect dollars to shift to Astra to try it out. I did a large coding project with Astra last month. It's definitely a smart model but overall Opus 5.5 is the far more productive and better model to work with. And now Anthropic will release the new Fable. We're still very early when it comes to token demand. My bet is that Anthropic will retain a strong market share when it comes to the most advanced workloads, which is where most of the ARR in this industry will be made. Open-source will be dominant for more commoditized workloads, which is where most of token demand will go, but revenues and margins will be much lower here. 🔗 View Quoted Tweet 💬 0 🔄 0 ❤️ 0 👀 116 ⚡