Microsoft 研究登 Nature:机器学习提升 2-6 周天气预报准确度
Microsoft 在 Nature 发的天气预报研究,把可预测范围推到 2-6 周,思路是给模型配验证系统,搞 ML 的可以看看。
Microsoft Research 在 Nature 发表新研究,用机器学习改进提前 2 到 6 周的天气预报,这一时间范围历来难以预测。Satya Nadella 称其有助于应对极端天气、管理自然资源和农业决策。研究思路是构建围绕模型的智能验证系统,学习模型的系统性偏差、推理因果关系,并用真实观测持续校准预测。
In @Nature this week, our new research shows how machine learning can improve weather forecasts two to six weeks out, a timeframe that's historically been very difficult to predict. It's exciting to see the potential of this work to help us better prepare for extreme weather, manage natural resources, and make more informed decisions in agriculture. There's a broader lesson here... the future may not just be about ever-more-capable models, but about building intelligent verification systems around them: systems that learn where models are systematically wrong, reason about cause and effect, and continuously calibrate predictions against reality. Read more: microsoft.com/en-us/research… 💬 25 🔄 13 ❤️ 106 👀 10034 📊 31 ⚡