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HubSpot CTO Dharmesh Shah:现在做 AI 创业比 2023 年更安全

精选理由

HubSpot 联合创始人谈怎么避开 OpenAI 这些实验室的赛道做 AI 创业,把模型当 AWS 那样的基础设施来用。他讲的 yet 测试很实用,想创业或者正在选方向的人听完能少踩坑。

HubSpot 联合创始人兼 CTO Dharmesh Shah 在 a16z 播客中表示,2025 年做 AI 创业比 2023 年更不让人害怕,前提是避开前沿实验室的路线。他指出 OpenAI 等前沿模型公司已投入数千亿美元做预训练,当前的核心任务是把这笔资本开支变现,即出售推理和 token。

图片来源 · a16z
正文

他的核心建议是把 AI 视为类似 15 年前 AWS 云计算的基础设施:有领域知识、有市场、有分发渠道的 SaaS 公司可以成为推理的转售商。他还提出用"yet 测试"判断创业方向——如果一个想法前面加个 yet 实验室就能顺手做掉,就应该避开。

Shah 自己在做一个叫 uSpot 的一人公司 CRM,从第一天起就收费,成为他在 HubSpot 期间最成功的发布。他认为开源模型和商业产品的并存让创业者有了选择权,不会被挤压出局,ChatGPT 正在成为新的操作系统。

原文 · a16z

HubSpot co-founder and CTO Dharmesh Shah says it's less scary to build an AI startup now than in 2023, as long as you stay off the Yellow Brick Road the frontier labs are following: "The frontier model companies have invested hundreds of billions of dollars building, doing the pre-training. And so their whole business effectively now is taking the capex that they've spent and the money they're continuing to spend and saying, 'How do we sell inference? How do we sell tokens? How do we monetize the thing that we've built?'" "There are SaaS companies and startups that know their particular domain, know their market, have some distribution, or have something that allows them to sell tokens and be a reseller of inference." "Think of AI as infrastructure in the same way we thought of AWS and cloud infrastructure 15 years ago... I think it's less scary now to build in and around the AI arena than it was in 2023." "We have open source. We have lots of great commercial products. So as long as you stay off the Yellow Brick Road, it is completely possible now that you're not gonna get margined out, because you have options." @dharmesh

产业坐标与信源核验

本条情报归属 AITOP「行业」核心栏目,重点聚焦北美前沿实验室与硅谷科技巨头。在跨区域产业观察坐标中,该动态直接关联「AI 开发者工具链、Coding Agent 与工程化实践」研究主线,反映出当前技术演进与商业落地的最新风向。涉及核心实体与技术议题包括:HubSpot、OpenAI、AI创业、ChatGPT,读者可通过下方标签进入对应专题页查阅历史脉络与关联对比。

信源核验说明:本文原始线索采编自「a16z」(@a16z),经 AITOP 多维评分管线结构化提炼。截至目前,全网已有 11 家独立信源对该事件进行交叉印证与跟进报道(含 TestingCatalog、Decoder、The Diplomat 等),属于近期高关注度行业信号。