Gergely Orosz:1999 年看衰 Amazon 的论调,正在重演于 Ant 与 OpenAI
Orosz 拿 1999 年 Amazon 被集体看衰的旧闻,对照今天质疑 Ant 和 OpenAI 的声音,观点贴很省时间。
Gergely Orosz 在 X 上发帖回顾,1999 年 Amazon 创立仅 5 年时,主流观点认为它会因过度的前期资本投入而崩溃,理由是消费者不会绕过中间商直接网购。他认为如今对 Ant 与 OpenAI 的类似质疑正在重复同样的判断模式。
A reminder that in 1999 (when Amazon was 5 years old) mainstream wisdom was that the company will collapse and be wiped out. Too much upfront capital investment made for a future that will never come (companies selling thru a middleman.)
I hear similar takes about Ant+OAI today https://t.co/jl5QAUu7pB