软件行业每十年被唱衰一次,工程师需求却持续走高
从 1994 年讲到现在,每十年都有人说软件要完,结果每次工程师反而更吃香,适合被 AI 编程工具焦虑包围的程序员看看。
作者按 1994、2004、2014、2024 四个时间点回顾软件行业的唱衰论调。1994 年被劝去当医生或律师,2004 年被指工作会被时薪 5 美元的外包取代,2014 年被认为会被 no-code 工具淘汰。2024 年的唱衰对象换成了 Devin、Windsurf、Copilot 和 OpenAI o1 等编程工具。结论是优秀软件工程师的需求始终没有下降。
In 1994, software was dead. People told me programming was for nerds and that I should become a doctor or a lawyer instead.
In 2004, software was dead. People told me that someone from India would take my job for $5/hour.
In 2014, software was dead. People told me that no-code was going to kill every job and doom my career.
In 2024, software was dead with Devin, Windsurf, Copilot, and OpenAI o1.
We kill software every 10 years, and yet the demand for good Software Engineers has never been higher.