Dwarkesh Patel 称 Anthropic 员工预测 AI 九个月内匹敌人类 AI 研究
Anthropic 内部员工放话说九个月内 AI 就能自己做 AI 研究，但证据不能公开，Patel 直接炮轰这种不透明操作。
Dwarkesh Patel 在访谈中透露，两天前一位 Anthropic 员工告诉他，预计 AI 将在九个月内达到与人类相当的 AI 研究能力，依据是不能公开的内部信息。他表示自己追问是模型还是评测结果，对方均以保密为由拒绝说明。Patel 批评 AI 实验室员工声称掌握加剧担忧的证据却不许公开，呼吁实验室将证据公之于众。Gary Marcus 则转发了这段内容，并批评 Dwarkesh 多次表现得像科技行业的未披露公关。
not the first time Dwarkesh comes as off to me as working as an undisclosed press secretary for the tech industry. Fireside Alpha @firesidealpha Dwarkesh Patel reveals an Anthropic employee told him two days ago they expect AIs to match humans at AI research within nine months based on inside information they can’t share, and says labs should make that evidence public “I think there’s a very frustrating element to the current situation right now, where people inside the AI labs claim to have evidence that makes them more worried. And they are not allowed to talk about it. And this makes it a very difficult situation on the outside to evaluate how worried we should be." "So for example, just the other day, maybe two days ago, I was talking to somebody at Anthropic and they were like, look, I expect AIs to be humans at AI research within nine months." "And I’m like, why do you believe that? Well, they’re like, it’s not just vibes, but I have information on the inside. Like, what is it? Is it a new model? Is it some evaluation you ran? It’s like, I can’t talk about it." "I think it’s a terrible state of affairs. If they really believe this, if they think that we’re in a situation where we’re less than a year away from automating AI research and radically speeding it up, they should make this evidence public.” Your browser does not support the video tag. 🔗 View on Twitter 🔗 View Quoted Tweet 💬 0 🔄 1 ❤️ 9 👀 802 📊 1 ⚡
