Andrew Chen：该讨论 p(China)，而不是 p(doom)
a16z 的 Andrew Chen 发了个观点：与其担心 AI 毁灭人类，不如想想中国会不会赢下这轮技术革命，角度挺不一样。
a16z 合伙人 Andrew Chen 在 X 上提出用 p(China) 取代 p(doom) 的讨论框架。他认为中国在机器人、制造、建设能力上领先，在 AI 和 GPU 上排第二，最可能成为这轮技术革命的主要受益者。他把 p(doom) 称为次要话题，呼吁思考美国未来几十年应如何提升能力以保持领先。
p(China) is what we should be talking about, not p(doom) What is the probability that China - with its lead in robotics, manufacturing, construction capability, and second place on AI, GPUs, innovation - will become the primary beneficiary of the technological revolution the world is experiencing, over the next decades? If your p(China) is high, what are you doing - and what should we be doing - to advance US capabilities in the coming decades so that we can lead, not follow? IMHO p(doom) is the sideshow 💬 12 🔄 0 ❤️ 21 👀 2944 📊 13 ⚡