行业多源确认

Gary Marcus 质疑 Anthropic 的 ARR 增长能否支撑其商业模型

精选理由

Gary Marcus 用 ARR 增速曲线泼冷水,认为 Anthropic 800 亿美元年收入的增长节奏已经掉队,可持续性存疑。

WSJ 报道称 Anthropic 十月 ARR 超过 800 亿美元,TickerTrends 追踪的数据为 823.3 亿美元,较 9 月 24 日的周度数据增长 7.2%。Gary Marcus 对此评论称,市场普遍预期的增长曲线是需要持续高速增长才可能实现的幻想。他指出 Anthropic 的增速已经偏离该曲线,因此质疑其能否成为可持续业务。

原文 · Gary Marcus

Breaking: Green line represents a widespread fantasy, and roughly the rocket that Anthropic would have needed to make it as a sustainable business. The dark bars on the right show that they already fell off the pace — which is why they probably won’t make it. TickerTrends 🔬 @tickerplus Anthropic’s October ARR topped $80B, per WSJ, consistent with TickerTrends tracking We tracked $82.33B as of Oct. 30, up 7.2% from our Sept. 24 weekly release 🔗 View Quoted Tweet 💬 5 🔄 19 ❤️ 75 👀 3750 📊 15 ⚡