Gary Marcus 指出 Amodei 关于失业的预测视频实为 18 个月前旧片
Dario Amodei 那段「一半白领失业」采访原来是 18 个月前的旧视频，Gary Marcus 出来戳穿，可以看看预测到底应验了没。
Gary Marcus 发帖指出，一段 Anderson Cooper 采访 Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei 的视频拍摄于 18 个月前。采访中 Amodei 预测 AI 可能在 1 到 5 年内消灭一半初级白领岗位，并描绘经济增长 10%、20% 人口失业的未来。Marcus 强调这些预测至今没有兑现，甚至连边都没沾上。
[updated]: This is video from 18 months ago. (I wish that had been noted in the post below.) FWIW, what Dario told Anderson Cooper then certainly has not yet materialized, not even close. FazerAI @0xFazerAI Anthropic's CEO described a future where the economy grows 10% a year and 20% of people don't have jobs. In the video below, Anderson Cooper reads it back to him. His answer: "That's exactly what I was getting to." He says AI could wipe out half of entry-level white-collar jobs within one to five years. "We're not going to prevent it just by saying everything's going to be OK." He sells the technology and still raises the alarm. Which number do you believe, the 10% or the 20%? Your browser does not support the video tag. 🔗 View on Twitter 🔗 View Quoted Tweet 💬 0 🔄 0 ❤️ 3 👀 949 ⚡
